What is a Carbon Budget?In today’s parlance, a carbon budget details the amount of CO2 that can be emitted by human activity before certain amounts of global…May 25May 25
An Idiot’s Guide to Scenario AnalysisHere I will make projections of global surface temperatures based on three hypothetical scenarios. The methods are fully transparent and…May 21May 21
Taking the Fear Out of Climate ChangeA powerful El Nino pushed 2023 average global temperatures to 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels. This year is poised to maintain these…May 14May 14
Why Climate Models Can’t Predict The FutureThe most sophisticated climate models are based on fundamental laws of physics and called General Circulation Models- GCMs, or Earth…May 4May 4
How Long Does CO2 Stay in The Air? A Simple AnalysisAtmospheric CO2 concentration only makes up for about 44–50% of total CO2 emitted since the industrial era. The concept of an “airborne…Apr 30Apr 30
